Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and global models indicate cooling on August 28 driven by moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of typhoons Zitan and Jianlawei, which are enhancing easterly flow and scattered to heavy rain across southern and central areas. This suppresses peak heating compared to the 39–40°C highs observed on August 26 under stronger subtropical high influence, with most guidance converging on 33–37°C maxima amid 50–75% storm chances. Model spreads arise from variable rainfall timing and intensity—stronger convection could cap readings near 34°C while lighter activity allows 37°C. Trader odds clustered around 34–37°C reflect this narrow range of outcomes and the inherent uncertainty in short-range precipitation forecasts ahead of the next official update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 28 agosto?
36°C 30%
35°C 27%
37°C 20%
38°C 14%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
8%
34°C
13%
35°C
18%
36°C
30%
37°C
23%
38°C
14%
39°C
6%
40°C or higher
2%
36°C 30%
35°C 27%
37°C 20%
38°C 14%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
8%
34°C
13%
35°C
18%
36°C
30%
37°C
23%
38°C
14%
39°C
6%
40°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and global models indicate cooling on August 28 driven by moisture and cloud cover from the remnants of typhoons Zitan and Jianlawei, which are enhancing easterly flow and scattered to heavy rain across southern and central areas. This suppresses peak heating compared to the 39–40°C highs observed on August 26 under stronger subtropical high influence, with most guidance converging on 33–37°C maxima amid 50–75% storm chances. Model spreads arise from variable rainfall timing and intensity—stronger convection could cap readings near 34°C while lighter activity allows 37°C. Trader odds clustered around 34–37°C reflect this narrow range of outcomes and the inherent uncertainty in short-range precipitation forecasts ahead of the next official update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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