Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 26 agosto?
16°C 62%
15°C 34%
17°C 7%
18°C 2%
NUOVO
$19,811 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,811 Vol.
26 ago 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
34%
16°C
62%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 62%
15°C 34%
17°C 7%
18°C 2%
NUOVO
$19,811 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,811 Vol.
26 ago 2026
10°C or below
$1,332 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,333 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,353 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5,985 Vol.
34%
16°C
$3,750 Vol.
62%
17°C
$3,515 Vol.
7%
18°C
$1,495 Vol.
2%
19°C
$252 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,811Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,811Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 13–15°C on August 26 under prevailing northwesterly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, gusty winds, and a chance of showers developing later. Recent days featured warmer readings, including a 17°C peak on August 23, but a cooling trend has set in ahead of a frontal system. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15–16°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical variability around the seasonal average high near 13–14°C for late August. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow brief warming above model consensus, with official MetService and international updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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