Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Madrid's August 28 high will likely peak near 26–27°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome at 45% implied probability. A cooler-than-average airmass has dominated late August 2026, suppressing temperatures several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological high of 30.6°C for the date. Recent observations show subdued daytime maxima around 25–27°C amid stable high pressure, limiting convective heating and keeping extremes unlikely without a rapid pattern shift. Updated model runs and official agency guidance in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 28 agosto?
27°C 45%
26°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
26%
27°C
45%
28°C
25%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$135 Vol.
1%
25°C
$43 Vol.
8%
26°C
$147 Vol.
26%
27°C
$117 Vol.
45%
28°C
$125 Vol.
25%
29°C
$29 Vol.
5%
30°C
$5 Vol.
4%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Madrid's August 28 high will likely peak near 26–27°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome at 45% implied probability. A cooler-than-average airmass has dominated late August 2026, suppressing temperatures several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological high of 30.6°C for the date. Recent observations show subdued daytime maxima around 25–27°C amid stable high pressure, limiting convective heating and keeping extremes unlikely without a rapid pattern shift. Updated model runs and official agency guidance in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$620Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Madrid's August 28 high will likely peak near 26–27°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome at 45% implied probability. A cooler-than-average airmass has dominated late August 2026, suppressing temperatures several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological high of 30.6°C for the date. Recent observations show subdued daytime maxima around 25–27°C amid stable high pressure, limiting convective heating and keeping extremes unlikely without a rapid pattern shift. Updated model runs and official agency guidance in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$620Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Madrid's August 28 high will likely peak near 26–27°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 27°C outcome at 45% implied probability. A cooler-than-average airmass has dominated late August 2026, suppressing temperatures several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological high of 30.6°C for the date. Recent observations show subdued daytime maxima around 25–27°C amid stable high pressure, limiting convective heating and keeping extremes unlikely without a rapid pattern shift. Updated model runs and official agency guidance in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti