Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models converge on Beijing reaching a daily maximum of 31–33°C on August 30 under clear skies and northwest flow following earlier showers. This positions 33°C and 32°C as the leading market outcomes because peak readings hinge on subtle differences in solar heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at the official observation site. With dew points dropping into the low teens Celsius and light winds, radiative warming should be efficient, yet any slight increase in cloud cover or earlier sea-breeze influence could cap the peak at 32°C. Historical late-August maxima near 30–32°C provide context, while traders weigh the narrow spread against the precision of the final station measurement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 30 agosto?
33°C 40%
32°C 35%
31°C 10%
34°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
35%
33°C
40%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
32°C 35%
31°C 10%
34°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
35%
33°C
40%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models converge on Beijing reaching a daily maximum of 31–33°C on August 30 under clear skies and northwest flow following earlier showers. This positions 33°C and 32°C as the leading market outcomes because peak readings hinge on subtle differences in solar heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at the official observation site. With dew points dropping into the low teens Celsius and light winds, radiative warming should be efficient, yet any slight increase in cloud cover or earlier sea-breeze influence could cap the peak at 32°C. Historical late-August maxima near 30–32°C provide context, while traders weigh the narrow spread against the precision of the final station measurement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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