Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates peak temperatures in Milan on August 30 will reach 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and strong late-summer solar insolation with light winds and low precipitation risk. These factors support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal systems to moderate conditions, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (51.5%) and 31°C (19%). Recent model runs from August 29 show minimal shifts from prior guidance, reinforcing trader confidence in this narrow range while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 30 agosto?
30°C 52%
31°C 19%
29°C 16%
28°C 5%
$11,504 Vol.
$11,504 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
52%
31°C
19%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 52%
31°C 19%
29°C 16%
28°C 5%
$11,504 Vol.
$11,504 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
52%
31°C
19%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates peak temperatures in Milan on August 30 will reach 30–31°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and strong late-summer solar insolation with light winds and low precipitation risk. These factors support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal systems to moderate conditions, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C (51.5%) and 31°C (19%). Recent model runs from August 29 show minimal shifts from prior guidance, reinforcing trader confidence in this narrow range while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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