Recent forecasts from European models and Italian meteorological services indicate mostly clear skies and light winds over Milan on August 30, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling after a daytime high near 31°C. With dew points holding around 17–19°C, temperatures are expected to bottom out near 21–23°C under stable high pressure, consistent with climatological norms of roughly 18°C for late August. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–19°C reflects minor model spread in wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Urban heat retention and any thin high clouds could further limit cooling, keeping the 14°C-or-below outcome unlikely while capping upside above 21°C. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact low before resolution.