Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 31 agosto?
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
27°C or higher 28%
24°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C or higher
28%
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
27°C or higher 28%
24°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
17°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$136 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$172 Vol.
28%
26°C
$30 Vol.
34%
27°C or higher
$690 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,012Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,012Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies indicate a maximum near 26°C in Warsaw on August 31 under southwesterly flow and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Variable cloud cover will modulate surface solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while modest advection of warmer air from the south supports values in the mid-20s Celsius. Timing of any convective activity remains the key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap the daily peak near 25°C, whereas clearer intervals might allow brief spikes to 27°C or higher. Market odds reflect this narrow spread in ensemble guidance two days before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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