Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and coastal stations points to a Monday night low in the mid-60s °F under a developing marine layer, with patchy fog and light onshore flow limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with the 64–65 °F climatological average while remaining well above the 55 °F historical record. Trader consensus remains split because small differences in marine-layer depth, cloud cover timing, and wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees; the near-even implied probabilities between the 68–69 °F and sub-55 °F bins reflect this narrow forecast spread and the binary resolution of the daily minimum. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 31 agosto?
55°F o inferiore 81%
74°F o superiore 78%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
55°F o inferiore
81%
56-57°F
47%
58-59°F
47%
60-61°F
47%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
46%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74°F o superiore
78%
55°F o inferiore 81%
74°F o superiore 78%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
55°F o inferiore
81%
56-57°F
47%
58-59°F
47%
60-61°F
47%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
46%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74°F o superiore
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and coastal stations points to a Monday night low in the mid-60s °F under a developing marine layer, with patchy fog and light onshore flow limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with the 64–65 °F climatological average while remaining well above the 55 °F historical record. Trader consensus remains split because small differences in marine-layer depth, cloud cover timing, and wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees; the near-even implied probabilities between the 68–69 °F and sub-55 °F bins reflect this narrow forecast spread and the binary resolution of the daily minimum. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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