Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily high near 14–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited cloud cover early but increasing shower risk later. This aligns with the month’s observed pattern of above-average maxima (several days reaching 16–17°C), though climatological norms for late August hover around 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 16°C as the mode reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread, recent warmth, and potential for brief warmer pockets before any frontal passage, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from earlier cooling or measurement timing at official stations. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 31 agosto?
16°C 56%
17°C 23%
15°C 21%
14°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
21%
16°C
56%
17°C
23%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 56%
17°C 23%
15°C 21%
14°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
11°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$181 Vol.
2%
14°C
$103 Vol.
3%
15°C
$373 Vol.
21%
16°C
$1,170 Vol.
56%
17°C
$237 Vol.
23%
18°C
$11 Vol.
1%
19°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$196 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$186 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily high near 14–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited cloud cover early but increasing shower risk later. This aligns with the month’s observed pattern of above-average maxima (several days reaching 16–17°C), though climatological norms for late August hover around 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 16°C as the mode reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread, recent warmth, and potential for brief warmer pockets before any frontal passage, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from earlier cooling or measurement timing at official stations. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,899Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily high near 14–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited cloud cover early but increasing shower risk later. This aligns with the month’s observed pattern of above-average maxima (several days reaching 16–17°C), though climatological norms for late August hover around 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 16°C as the mode reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread, recent warmth, and potential for brief warmer pockets before any frontal passage, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from earlier cooling or measurement timing at official stations. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,899Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily high near 14–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strong northwesterly flow, with limited cloud cover early but increasing shower risk later. This aligns with the month’s observed pattern of above-average maxima (several days reaching 16–17°C), though climatological norms for late August hover around 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 16°C as the mode reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread, recent warmth, and potential for brief warmer pockets before any frontal passage, while lower outcomes capture downside risks from earlier cooling or measurement timing at official stations. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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