**Current forecasts from MetService and other models point to an overnight minimum on August 31 around 5–8 °C in Wellington, driven by a shift from strong northwesterlies to cooler southwesterlies late in the day as a front passes.** This setup favors radiative cooling under clearing skies after possible morning showers, with dew points near 4–6 °C supporting the lower end of the range. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to timing of the wind change and cloud cover, keeping outcomes like 10 °C, 9 °C, and 8 °C closely bunched in trader pricing while the slim chance of a milder night (15 °C or higher) reflects uncertainty if the front stalls. Historical August minima average near 9 °C, so this pattern sits on the cooler side of climatology. Resolution will hinge on official overnight readings from Wellington Airport or equivalent stations once the 24-hour period closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 31 agosto?
15°C o superiore 60%
8°C 45%
13°C 44%
10°C 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
5°C or below
5%
6°C
16%
7°C
22%
8°C
45%
9°C
27%
10°C
35%
11°C
26%
12°C
24%
13°C
44%
14°C
2%
15°C o superiore
60%
15°C o superiore 60%
8°C 45%
13°C 44%
10°C 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
5%
6°C
$284 Vol.
16%
7°C
$30 Vol.
22%
8°C
$0 Vol.
45%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
35%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$0 Vol.
44%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from MetService and other models point to an overnight minimum on August 31 around 5–8 °C in Wellington, driven by a shift from strong northwesterlies to cooler southwesterlies late in the day as a front passes.**
This setup favors radiative cooling under clearing skies after possible morning showers, with dew points near 4–6 °C supporting the lower end of the range. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to timing of the wind change and cloud cover, keeping outcomes like 10 °C, 9 °C, and 8 °C closely bunched in trader pricing while the slim chance of a milder night (15 °C or higher) reflects uncertainty if the front stalls. Historical August minima average near 9 °C, so this pattern sits on the cooler side of climatology. Resolution will hinge on official overnight readings from Wellington Airport or equivalent stations once the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$314Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from MetService and other models point to an overnight minimum on August 31 around 5–8 °C in Wellington, driven by a shift from strong northwesterlies to cooler southwesterlies late in the day as a front passes.**
This setup favors radiative cooling under clearing skies after possible morning showers, with dew points near 4–6 °C supporting the lower end of the range. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to timing of the wind change and cloud cover, keeping outcomes like 10 °C, 9 °C, and 8 °C closely bunched in trader pricing while the slim chance of a milder night (15 °C or higher) reflects uncertainty if the front stalls. Historical August minima average near 9 °C, so this pattern sits on the cooler side of climatology. Resolution will hinge on official overnight readings from Wellington Airport or equivalent stations once the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$314Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from MetService and other models point to an overnight minimum on August 31 around 5–8 °C in Wellington, driven by a shift from strong northwesterlies to cooler southwesterlies late in the day as a front passes.** This setup favors radiative cooling under clearing skies after possible morning showers, with dew points near 4–6 °C supporting the lower end of the range. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to timing of the wind change and cloud cover, keeping outcomes like 10 °C, 9 °C, and 8 °C closely bunched in trader pricing while the slim chance of a milder night (15 °C or higher) reflects uncertainty if the front stalls. Historical August minima average near 9 °C, so this pattern sits on the cooler side of climatology. Resolution will hinge on official overnight readings from Wellington Airport or equivalent stations once the 24-hour period closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti