Strong northwesterly winds and clear skies dominate trader sentiment for Wellington’s August 30 overnight minimum, with models showing a mild air mass limiting radiational cooling. Recent observations indicate temperatures running above the seasonal 7–10°C baseline, and forecast consensus from sources such as MetService and international models clusters overnight lows between 9–11°C. Variable wind speeds and local topographic effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the low probability assigned to 6°C or below reflects the absence of any approaching cold front or significant cloud cover that would otherwise enhance cooling. Updated model runs and official overnight guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 30 agosto?
7°C 50%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
11°C 30%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
6%
7°C
50%
8°C
50%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
50%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
7°C 50%
8°C 50%
12°C 50%
11°C 30%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
6%
7°C
$0 Vol.
50%
8°C
$10 Vol.
50%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$351 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northwesterly winds and clear skies dominate trader sentiment for Wellington’s August 30 overnight minimum, with models showing a mild air mass limiting radiational cooling. Recent observations indicate temperatures running above the seasonal 7–10°C baseline, and forecast consensus from sources such as MetService and international models clusters overnight lows between 9–11°C. Variable wind speeds and local topographic effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the low probability assigned to 6°C or below reflects the absence of any approaching cold front or significant cloud cover that would otherwise enhance cooling. Updated model runs and official overnight guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$561Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northwesterly winds and clear skies dominate trader sentiment for Wellington’s August 30 overnight minimum, with models showing a mild air mass limiting radiational cooling. Recent observations indicate temperatures running above the seasonal 7–10°C baseline, and forecast consensus from sources such as MetService and international models clusters overnight lows between 9–11°C. Variable wind speeds and local topographic effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the low probability assigned to 6°C or below reflects the absence of any approaching cold front or significant cloud cover that would otherwise enhance cooling. Updated model runs and official overnight guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$561Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Strong northwesterly winds and clear skies dominate trader sentiment for Wellington’s August 30 overnight minimum, with models showing a mild air mass limiting radiational cooling. Recent observations indicate temperatures running above the seasonal 7–10°C baseline, and forecast consensus from sources such as MetService and international models clusters overnight lows between 9–11°C. Variable wind speeds and local topographic effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the low probability assigned to 6°C or below reflects the absence of any approaching cold front or significant cloud cover that would otherwise enhance cooling. Updated model runs and official overnight guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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