Official Environment Canada forecasts, issued the prior evening and consistent into August 28 morning observations, call for a Toronto high of 23 °C under mainly sunny skies transitioning to a mix of sun and cloud, with northerly winds near 20 km/h and humidex values around 25 °C. This consensus from the National Weather Service equivalent, combined with a cool overnight low near 15 °C and stable high-pressure influence, underpins the market’s strong 65.5% implied probability for 23 °C. Nearby model spreads allow modest probability mass on 22 °C and 24 °C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges in late-summer boundary-layer mixing and minor steering variations. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of the day’s peak temperature readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 28 agosto?
23°C 65%
22°C 19%
24°C 16%
25°C 3%
$10,644 Vol.
$10,644 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
19%
23°C
65%
24°C
16%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 65%
22°C 19%
24°C 16%
25°C 3%
$10,644 Vol.
$10,644 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
19%
23°C
65%
24°C
16%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Environment Canada forecasts, issued the prior evening and consistent into August 28 morning observations, call for a Toronto high of 23 °C under mainly sunny skies transitioning to a mix of sun and cloud, with northerly winds near 20 km/h and humidex values around 25 °C. This consensus from the National Weather Service equivalent, combined with a cool overnight low near 15 °C and stable high-pressure influence, underpins the market’s strong 65.5% implied probability for 23 °C. Nearby model spreads allow modest probability mass on 22 °C and 24 °C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges in late-summer boundary-layer mixing and minor steering variations. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of the day’s peak temperature readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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