Forecast models for São Paulo on August 28 show a warm advection pattern with northerly winds and mostly clear skies promoting strong daytime heating, driving trader consensus toward a 31–33°C peak as the most probable range. Recent days have featured rising maxima from mid-20s°C amid a temporary ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture, pushing readings well above the late-August climatological average of ~24°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes include model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds modulating the urban heat island, and any late-day convective development that could cap the high. Official INMET and global ensemble guidance continue to refine these details ahead of the daily maximum window, sustaining market-implied probabilities around these central outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 28 agosto?
32°C 36%
31°C 30%
33°C 19%
30°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
30%
32°C
36%
33°C
19%
34°C or higher
6%
32°C 36%
31°C 30%
33°C 19%
30°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
24°C or below
$166 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$589 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$45 Vol.
12%
31°C
$26 Vol.
30%
32°C
$42 Vol.
36%
33°C
$37 Vol.
19%
34°C or higher
$202 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for São Paulo on August 28 show a warm advection pattern with northerly winds and mostly clear skies promoting strong daytime heating, driving trader consensus toward a 31–33°C peak as the most probable range. Recent days have featured rising maxima from mid-20s°C amid a temporary ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture, pushing readings well above the late-August climatological average of ~24°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes include model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds modulating the urban heat island, and any late-day convective development that could cap the high. Official INMET and global ensemble guidance continue to refine these details ahead of the daily maximum window, sustaining market-implied probabilities around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$1,307Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for São Paulo on August 28 show a warm advection pattern with northerly winds and mostly clear skies promoting strong daytime heating, driving trader consensus toward a 31–33°C peak as the most probable range. Recent days have featured rising maxima from mid-20s°C amid a temporary ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture, pushing readings well above the late-August climatological average of ~24°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes include model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds modulating the urban heat island, and any late-day convective development that could cap the high. Official INMET and global ensemble guidance continue to refine these details ahead of the daily maximum window, sustaining market-implied probabilities around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,307Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for São Paulo on August 28 show a warm advection pattern with northerly winds and mostly clear skies promoting strong daytime heating, driving trader consensus toward a 31–33°C peak as the most probable range. Recent days have featured rising maxima from mid-20s°C amid a temporary ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture, pushing readings well above the late-August climatological average of ~24°C. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes include model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds modulating the urban heat island, and any late-day convective development that could cap the high. Official INMET and global ensemble guidance continue to refine these details ahead of the daily maximum window, sustaining market-implied probabilities around these central outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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