National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 28 project a high near 100°F under persistent mid-level ridging and mostly sunny skies, with light easterly winds limiting mixing. This setup aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 49.5% implied probability, as ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and minimal moisture for convective cooling. Recent model runs reinforce above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991-2020 August 28 average of 94.6°F, though dew points in the mid-60s could support heat indices near 105°F without altering the maximum air temperature threshold. The 100-101°F outcome at 34.5% reflects slight upside risk if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Dallas il 28 agosto?
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 10%
102-103°F 7%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 10%
102-103°F 7%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 28 project a high near 100°F under persistent mid-level ridging and mostly sunny skies, with light easterly winds limiting mixing. This setup aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 49.5% implied probability, as ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and minimal moisture for convective cooling. Recent model runs reinforce above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991-2020 August 28 average of 94.6°F, though dew points in the mid-60s could support heat indices near 105°F without altering the maximum air temperature threshold. The 100-101°F outcome at 34.5% reflects slight upside risk if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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