**Monsoon cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors keeping August 27 maximum temperatures in Lucknow uncertain.** Official IMD forecasts project a high near 33°C with generally cloudy skies and light rain, while other models indicate 31–32°C amid 70–90% storm chances that limit solar heating. Recent observations show daytime peaks of 34–35°C when breaks in cloudiness occur, but persistent moisture and easterly flow sustain high humidity and convective activity. This variability explains the balanced market-implied odds across 28–32°C, as even modest shifts in rainfall timing or intensity can alter the daily maximum by 2–4°C from the climatological August average near 33°C. Updated IMD and NWP model runs ahead of the 27th will likely drive the next sentiment shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 27 agosto?
30°C 44%
31°C 39%
32°C 26%
29°C 21%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
21%
30°C
44%
31°C
39%
32°C
26%
33°C
4%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 44%
31°C 39%
32°C 26%
29°C 21%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
21%
30°C
44%
31°C
39%
32°C
26%
33°C
4%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors keeping August 27 maximum temperatures in Lucknow uncertain.** Official IMD forecasts project a high near 33°C with generally cloudy skies and light rain, while other models indicate 31–32°C amid 70–90% storm chances that limit solar heating. Recent observations show daytime peaks of 34–35°C when breaks in cloudiness occur, but persistent moisture and easterly flow sustain high humidity and convective activity. This variability explains the balanced market-implied odds across 28–32°C, as even modest shifts in rainfall timing or intensity can alter the daily maximum by 2–4°C from the climatological August average near 33°C. Updated IMD and NWP model runs ahead of the 27th will likely drive the next sentiment shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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