Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers or patchy rain, are suppressing peak temperatures in Lucknow for August 26. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and NDTV indicate generally overcast skies and convective activity that limits solar insolation, keeping maximums in the low 30s°C range—aligning with the tight market clustering around 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (30%). Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on rainfall timing and intensity: earlier or heavier showers could cap heating near 31°C or lower, while brief clear intervals allow slight warming to 32–33°C. Recent days' cooling trend from mid-August highs reflects strengthening monsoon moisture influx, with ensemble models showing modest day-to-day variability in convective coverage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 26 agosto?
31°C 36%
32°C 30%
30°C 13%
33°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
36%
32°C
30%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 36%
32°C 30%
30°C 13%
33°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
36%
32°C
30%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers or patchy rain, are suppressing peak temperatures in Lucknow for August 26. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and NDTV indicate generally overcast skies and convective activity that limits solar insolation, keeping maximums in the low 30s°C range—aligning with the tight market clustering around 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (30%). Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on rainfall timing and intensity: earlier or heavier showers could cap heating near 31°C or lower, while brief clear intervals allow slight warming to 32–33°C. Recent days' cooling trend from mid-August highs reflects strengthening monsoon moisture influx, with ensemble models showing modest day-to-day variability in convective coverage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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