Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh, is the main driver keeping the lowest-temperature market nearly tied between 27°C (48.5%) and 22°C (47%). Widespread cloud cover and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight while also capping daytime highs near 32°C, but model consensus from the India Meteorological Department points to a minimum around 27°C under generally cloudy conditions with isolated showers. A stronger or more prolonged rain event could enhance evaporative cooling and push readings toward 22°C, whereas any clearing would support the higher outcome. Updated IMD observations and forecast revisions tonight will likely resolve the uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 27 agosto?
22°C 93%
26°C 23%
24°C 16%
23°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
93%
23°C
7%
24°C
16%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 93%
26°C 23%
24°C 16%
23°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
93%
23°C
7%
24°C
16%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Uttar Pradesh, is the main driver keeping the lowest-temperature market nearly tied between 27°C (48.5%) and 22°C (47%). Widespread cloud cover and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight while also capping daytime highs near 32°C, but model consensus from the India Meteorological Department points to a minimum around 27°C under generally cloudy conditions with isolated showers. A stronger or more prolonged rain event could enhance evaporative cooling and push readings toward 22°C, whereas any clearing would support the higher outcome. Updated IMD observations and forecast revisions tonight will likely resolve the uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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