**Official forecasts for Lucknow on August 29 point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these levels.** Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and widespread cloud cover are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows above the seasonal average of roughly 25–26°C. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has maintained saturated soils and atmospheric moisture, while models show only gradual weakening of the monsoon trough. Minor differences among outcomes stem from uncertainty in exact timing of any light showers or breaks in cloud cover, which could allow marginally greater cooling toward 26°C or retain warmth near 28°C. Upcoming IMD and global model updates on steering patterns and rainfall will be the next key inputs for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 29 agosto?
32°C or higher 31%
26°C 30%
27°C 27%
28°C 26%
22°C or below
23%
23°C
8%
24°C
20%
25°C
23%
26°C
30%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
31%
32°C or higher 31%
26°C 30%
27°C 27%
28°C 26%
22°C or below
23%
23°C
8%
24°C
20%
25°C
23%
26°C
30%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts for Lucknow on August 29 point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these levels.** Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and widespread cloud cover are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows above the seasonal average of roughly 25–26°C. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has maintained saturated soils and atmospheric moisture, while models show only gradual weakening of the monsoon trough. Minor differences among outcomes stem from uncertainty in exact timing of any light showers or breaks in cloud cover, which could allow marginally greater cooling toward 26°C or retain warmth near 28°C. Upcoming IMD and global model updates on steering patterns and rainfall will be the next key inputs for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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