Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with ongoing light to moderate rain or thundershowers and generally cloudy skies, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures clustered near 27°C for August 30. High humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent IMD observations showing minima of 26–27°C and no large day-to-day changes. Forecast models from IMD, Met Office, and others converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the tight spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief clear intervals that could allow slightly greater cooling. Historical late-August baselines around 26°C further anchor trader expectations ahead of the 0830 IST observation window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 30 agosto?
27°C 50%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
26°C 30%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
4%
27°C 50%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
26°C 30%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
$33 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$6 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with ongoing light to moderate rain or thundershowers and generally cloudy skies, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures clustered near 27°C for August 30. High humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent IMD observations showing minima of 26–27°C and no large day-to-day changes. Forecast models from IMD, Met Office, and others converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the tight spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief clear intervals that could allow slightly greater cooling. Historical late-August baselines around 26°C further anchor trader expectations ahead of the 0830 IST observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$54Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with ongoing light to moderate rain or thundershowers and generally cloudy skies, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures clustered near 27°C for August 30. High humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent IMD observations showing minima of 26–27°C and no large day-to-day changes. Forecast models from IMD, Met Office, and others converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the tight spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief clear intervals that could allow slightly greater cooling. Historical late-August baselines around 26°C further anchor trader expectations ahead of the 0830 IST observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, with ongoing light to moderate rain or thundershowers and generally cloudy skies, is the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperatures clustered near 27°C for August 30. High humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent IMD observations showing minima of 26–27°C and no large day-to-day changes. Forecast models from IMD, Met Office, and others converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the tight spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief clear intervals that could allow slightly greater cooling. Historical late-August baselines around 26°C further anchor trader expectations ahead of the 0830 IST observation window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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