Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area over northeast Uttar Pradesh and an active monsoon trough, continues to drive extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Lucknow through late August, limiting daytime heating. Official IMD and multiple model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 30 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50–70% rain probability, aligning with recent observations of highs around 33–34°C under similar conditions. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, while the modest 20.5% on 33°C or higher reflects limited scope for brief clearing or reduced rainfall to allow stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus from NHC-analog monsoon dynamics and short-range model runs showing suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 30 agosto?
32°C 53%
31°C 22%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
22%
32°C
53%
33°C or higher
21%
32°C 53%
31°C 22%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
$392 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$182 Vol.
1%
28°C
$135 Vol.
1%
29°C
$116 Vol.
3%
30°C
$428 Vol.
4%
31°C
$300 Vol.
22%
32°C
$788 Vol.
53%
33°C or higher
$313 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area over northeast Uttar Pradesh and an active monsoon trough, continues to drive extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Lucknow through late August, limiting daytime heating. Official IMD and multiple model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 30 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50–70% rain probability, aligning with recent observations of highs around 33–34°C under similar conditions. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, while the modest 20.5% on 33°C or higher reflects limited scope for brief clearing or reduced rainfall to allow stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus from NHC-analog monsoon dynamics and short-range model runs showing suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,674Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area over northeast Uttar Pradesh and an active monsoon trough, continues to drive extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Lucknow through late August, limiting daytime heating. Official IMD and multiple model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 30 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50–70% rain probability, aligning with recent observations of highs around 33–34°C under similar conditions. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, while the modest 20.5% on 33°C or higher reflects limited scope for brief clearing or reduced rainfall to allow stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus from NHC-analog monsoon dynamics and short-range model runs showing suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,674Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a lingering low-pressure area over northeast Uttar Pradesh and an active monsoon trough, continues to drive extensive cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Lucknow through late August, limiting daytime heating. Official IMD and multiple model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 30 amid mostly cloudy skies and 50–70% rain probability, aligning with recent observations of highs around 33–34°C under similar conditions. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C outcome at 52.5% implied probability, while the modest 20.5% on 33°C or higher reflects limited scope for brief clearing or reduced rainfall to allow stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus from NHC-analog monsoon dynamics and short-range model runs showing suppressed maxima relative to drier climatology.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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