Persistent cloud cover and an approaching weather system with showers are the main drivers capping Toronto's August 30 high temperature near 22–24 °C, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds. Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada indicate a 27 °C potential under partly cloudy conditions, yet multiple numerical models show widespread overcast skies and precipitation developing through the afternoon, limiting solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects. Recent model consensus highlights light southwesterly flow and high humidity that favor earlier cloud build-up, reducing the likelihood of peak heating. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on the precise timing of any clearing versus rain onset, with even modest breaks in cloud allowing an extra degree or two of warming. Updated forecast runs and observational data from the next 12–18 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 30 agosto?
23°C 33%
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
25°C 8%
17°C o meno
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
22%
23°C
33%
24°C
24%
25°C
8%
26°C
4%
27°C o superiore
2%
23°C 33%
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
25°C 8%
17°C o meno
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
22%
23°C
33%
24°C
24%
25°C
8%
26°C
4%
27°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and an approaching weather system with showers are the main drivers capping Toronto's August 30 high temperature near 22–24 °C, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds. Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada indicate a 27 °C potential under partly cloudy conditions, yet multiple numerical models show widespread overcast skies and precipitation developing through the afternoon, limiting solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects. Recent model consensus highlights light southwesterly flow and high humidity that favor earlier cloud build-up, reducing the likelihood of peak heating. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on the precise timing of any clearing versus rain onset, with even modest breaks in cloud allowing an extra degree or two of warming. Updated forecast runs and observational data from the next 12–18 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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