Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a partly cloudy August 30 with highs near 62-66°F in downtown San Francisco, driven by the persistent marine layer and cool 55-58°F Pacific waters sustained by the California Current and coastal upwelling. These conditions favor onshore southwest flow and limited afternoon clearing, keeping temperatures near or slightly below the 69.8°F climatological average for the date. Trader emphasis on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth, potential microclimate warming in sheltered spots, and historical late-August variability when the North Pacific High weakens slightly. New forecast updates and any observed clearing today will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 30 agosto?
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
59°F o inferiore
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78°F o superiore
<1%
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
59°F o inferiore
$268 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$115 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$41 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$179 Vol.
9%
66-67°F
$286 Vol.
22%
68-69°F
$386 Vol.
37%
70-71°F
$922 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$406 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$103 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$25 Vol.
1%
78°F o superiore
$226 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a partly cloudy August 30 with highs near 62-66°F in downtown San Francisco, driven by the persistent marine layer and cool 55-58°F Pacific waters sustained by the California Current and coastal upwelling. These conditions favor onshore southwest flow and limited afternoon clearing, keeping temperatures near or slightly below the 69.8°F climatological average for the date. Trader emphasis on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth, potential microclimate warming in sheltered spots, and historical late-August variability when the North Pacific High weakens slightly. New forecast updates and any observed clearing today will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,958Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a partly cloudy August 30 with highs near 62-66°F in downtown San Francisco, driven by the persistent marine layer and cool 55-58°F Pacific waters sustained by the California Current and coastal upwelling. These conditions favor onshore southwest flow and limited afternoon clearing, keeping temperatures near or slightly below the 69.8°F climatological average for the date. Trader emphasis on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth, potential microclimate warming in sheltered spots, and historical late-August variability when the North Pacific High weakens slightly. New forecast updates and any observed clearing today will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,958Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a partly cloudy August 30 with highs near 62-66°F in downtown San Francisco, driven by the persistent marine layer and cool 55-58°F Pacific waters sustained by the California Current and coastal upwelling. These conditions favor onshore southwest flow and limited afternoon clearing, keeping temperatures near or slightly below the 69.8°F climatological average for the date. Trader emphasis on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth, potential microclimate warming in sheltered spots, and historical late-August variability when the North Pacific High weakens slightly. New forecast updates and any observed clearing today will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti