**Monsoon cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 32–33°C for Lucknow’s August 29 maximum.** Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs point to a partly cloudy sky with isolated rain or thunderstorms, which limits solar heating and caps the high near or slightly below the seasonal normal of roughly 33–34°C. Recent observations show daytime temperatures 1–2°C below normal amid persistent humidity and convective activity, while lighter steering winds from the west offer little additional warming. The narrow spread between the leading 32°C (37%) and 33°C (33.5%) outcomes reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of showers; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end, whereas clearer breaks could push readings toward 34°C. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model consensus released tomorrow morning will be the key data points that could shift positioning before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 29 agosto?
32°C 39%
33°C 36%
34°C 14%
31°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
39%
33°C
36%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 39%
33°C 36%
34°C 14%
31°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
39%
33°C
36%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 32–33°C for Lucknow’s August 29 maximum.** Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs point to a partly cloudy sky with isolated rain or thunderstorms, which limits solar heating and caps the high near or slightly below the seasonal normal of roughly 33–34°C. Recent observations show daytime temperatures 1–2°C below normal amid persistent humidity and convective activity, while lighter steering winds from the west offer little additional warming. The narrow spread between the leading 32°C (37%) and 33°C (33.5%) outcomes reflects uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of showers; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end, whereas clearer breaks could push readings toward 34°C. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model consensus released tomorrow morning will be the key data points that could shift positioning before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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