Persistent upper-level ridge centered over Oklahoma and North Texas is sustaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Dallas high near 101°F on August 30. Multiple guidance sources converge on afternoon maxima of 100–102°F under sunny skies and light winds, consistent with the market’s dominant 100–101°F bin at 67% implied probability. Recent model runs show no meaningful cooling signals or moisture return before the date, while the ongoing drought and elevated heat indices reinforce the pattern established through late August. Traders are weighting the tight forecast consensus and absence of variability drivers, though minor adjustments in ridge position could still nudge outcomes into the adjacent 98–99°F or 102–103°F ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Dallas il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Dallas il 30 agosto?
100-101°F 67%
102-103°F 16%
98-99°F 11%
104-105°F 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
67%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F o superiore
<1%
100-101°F 67%
102-103°F 16%
98-99°F 11%
104-105°F 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
91°F or below
$26 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$40 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$245 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$297 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$3,291 Vol.
11%
100-101°F
$1,471 Vol.
67%
102-103°F
$383 Vol.
16%
104-105°F
$62 Vol.
4%
106-107°F
$123 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$99 Vol.
<1%
110°F o superiore
$341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridge centered over Oklahoma and North Texas is sustaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Dallas high near 101°F on August 30. Multiple guidance sources converge on afternoon maxima of 100–102°F under sunny skies and light winds, consistent with the market’s dominant 100–101°F bin at 67% implied probability. Recent model runs show no meaningful cooling signals or moisture return before the date, while the ongoing drought and elevated heat indices reinforce the pattern established through late August. Traders are weighting the tight forecast consensus and absence of variability drivers, though minor adjustments in ridge position could still nudge outcomes into the adjacent 98–99°F or 102–103°F ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,343Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridge centered over Oklahoma and North Texas is sustaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Dallas high near 101°F on August 30. Multiple guidance sources converge on afternoon maxima of 100–102°F under sunny skies and light winds, consistent with the market’s dominant 100–101°F bin at 67% implied probability. Recent model runs show no meaningful cooling signals or moisture return before the date, while the ongoing drought and elevated heat indices reinforce the pattern established through late August. Traders are weighting the tight forecast consensus and absence of variability drivers, though minor adjustments in ridge position could still nudge outcomes into the adjacent 98–99°F or 102–103°F ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,343Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent upper-level ridge centered over Oklahoma and North Texas is sustaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Dallas high near 101°F on August 30. Multiple guidance sources converge on afternoon maxima of 100–102°F under sunny skies and light winds, consistent with the market’s dominant 100–101°F bin at 67% implied probability. Recent model runs show no meaningful cooling signals or moisture return before the date, while the ongoing drought and elevated heat indices reinforce the pattern established through late August. Traders are weighting the tight forecast consensus and absence of variability drivers, though minor adjustments in ridge position could still nudge outcomes into the adjacent 98–99°F or 102–103°F ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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