**Recent NWS forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows near 79°F through the weekend, aligning with the leading 78-79°F market outcome at 51% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and elevated dew points (upper 70s) are limiting nighttime radiational cooling under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Current observations show daily minima running 4–7°F above the 1991–2020 normal of ~75–76°F, with recent readings near 80–82°F. This pattern supports the strong trader consensus around the 78–79°F range while keeping remote tails (86°F+, 67°F or below) priced in at 31.5% and 29.0% respectively as low-probability scenarios tied to forecast busts or rare cool-air intrusions. No major fronts or significant precipitation are expected to alter the warm, stable airmass before August 29 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Houston il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Houston il 29 agosto?
86°F o superiore 65%
67°F o inferiore 57%
78-79°F 51%
72-73°F 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
67°F o inferiore
57%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
2%
86°F o superiore
65%
86°F o superiore 65%
67°F o inferiore 57%
78-79°F 51%
72-73°F 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
67°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
57%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
23%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
49%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
49%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
28%
78-79°F
$6 Vol.
51%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
49%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
49%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
2%
86°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent NWS forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows near 79°F through the weekend, aligning with the leading 78-79°F market outcome at 51% implied probability.**
Persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and elevated dew points (upper 70s) are limiting nighttime radiational cooling under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Current observations show daily minima running 4–7°F above the 1991–2020 normal of ~75–76°F, with recent readings near 80–82°F. This pattern supports the strong trader consensus around the 78–79°F range while keeping remote tails (86°F+, 67°F or below) priced in at 31.5% and 29.0% respectively as low-probability scenarios tied to forecast busts or rare cool-air intrusions. No major fronts or significant precipitation are expected to alter the warm, stable airmass before August 29 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$6Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent NWS forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows near 79°F through the weekend, aligning with the leading 78-79°F market outcome at 51% implied probability.**
Persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and elevated dew points (upper 70s) are limiting nighttime radiational cooling under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Current observations show daily minima running 4–7°F above the 1991–2020 normal of ~75–76°F, with recent readings near 80–82°F. This pattern supports the strong trader consensus around the 78–79°F range while keeping remote tails (86°F+, 67°F or below) priced in at 31.5% and 29.0% respectively as low-probability scenarios tied to forecast busts or rare cool-air intrusions. No major fronts or significant precipitation are expected to alter the warm, stable airmass before August 29 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent NWS forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows near 79°F through the weekend, aligning with the leading 78-79°F market outcome at 51% implied probability.** Persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and elevated dew points (upper 70s) are limiting nighttime radiational cooling under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Current observations show daily minima running 4–7°F above the 1991–2020 normal of ~75–76°F, with recent readings near 80–82°F. This pattern supports the strong trader consensus around the 78–79°F range while keeping remote tails (86°F+, 67°F or below) priced in at 31.5% and 29.0% respectively as low-probability scenarios tied to forecast busts or rare cool-air intrusions. No major fronts or significant precipitation are expected to alter the warm, stable airmass before August 29 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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