**Persistent late-summer heat and high humidity produced an elevated overnight minimum temperature in Houston on August 27, 2026.** Official National Weather Service observations at Houston Intercontinental Airport recorded a minimum of 82 °F shortly after 6 a.m. CDT, seven degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 75 °F, with the maximum reaching 100 °F later that afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Trader consensus strongly favored the 80–81 °F bucket (96.5 % implied probability) because model guidance and climatological trends pointed to continued warmth without significant cooling mechanisms such as a frontal passage or widespread rainfall. The broader August pattern featured above-average temperatures across southeast Texas, consistent with the observed +7 °F departure and the absence of any synoptic features capable of dropping the low into the mid-70s or below. Realistic scenarios that could have altered the outcome include an unexpected cold front or heavy overnight convection triggering evaporative cooling; neither materialized. The market-implied odds therefore reflected the high-confidence scientific expectation of a warm minimum based on verified observations and standard forecast variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Houston il 27 agosto?
80-81°F 100.0%
76-77°F 1.0%
78-79°F 1.0%
73°F or below <1%
$1,384 Vol.
$1,384 Vol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
76-77°F 1.0%
78-79°F 1.0%
73°F or below <1%
$1,384 Vol.
$1,384 Vol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Persistent late-summer heat and high humidity produced an elevated overnight minimum temperature in Houston on August 27, 2026.** Official National Weather Service observations at Houston Intercontinental Airport recorded a minimum of 82 °F shortly after 6 a.m. CDT, seven degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 75 °F, with the maximum reaching 100 °F later that afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Trader consensus strongly favored the 80–81 °F bucket (96.5 % implied probability) because model guidance and climatological trends pointed to continued warmth without significant cooling mechanisms such as a frontal passage or widespread rainfall. The broader August pattern featured above-average temperatures across southeast Texas, consistent with the observed +7 °F departure and the absence of any synoptic features capable of dropping the low into the mid-70s or below. Realistic scenarios that could have altered the outcome include an unexpected cold front or heavy overnight convection triggering evaporative cooling; neither materialized. The market-implied odds therefore reflected the high-confidence scientific expectation of a warm minimum based on verified observations and standard forecast variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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