**Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low for Miami on August 29 in the low-to-mid 80s °F, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 77–80 °F, and limited radiative cooling overnight.** Forecasts consistently show Saturday night lows around 81–84 °F under partly cloudy skies with a 40–50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, which adds downward mixing of warmer air and prevents strong surface cooling. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical conditions featuring elevated humidity and light-to-moderate easterly winds (5–15 mph) that inhibit the clear, calm nights needed for deeper drops. Historical averages for August 29 sit near 77.5 °F, but the current pattern lacks any frontal passages or drier air masses that would allow temperatures to reach the mid-70s. Trader consensus clustering around the 78–81 °F bins reflects this warm bias in official guidance, with close odds between adjacent ranges stemming from uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing that could nudge the minimum by a degree or two. No significant model shifts or new data have altered this outlook in the past day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 29 agosto?
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 17%
82-83°F 8%
67°F o inferiore
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
4%
86°F o superiore
1%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 17%
82-83°F 8%
67°F o inferiore
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
4%
86°F o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low for Miami on August 29 in the low-to-mid 80s °F, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 77–80 °F, and limited radiative cooling overnight.** Forecasts consistently show Saturday night lows around 81–84 °F under partly cloudy skies with a 40–50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, which adds downward mixing of warmer air and prevents strong surface cooling. This aligns with typical late-August subtropical conditions featuring elevated humidity and light-to-moderate easterly winds (5–15 mph) that inhibit the clear, calm nights needed for deeper drops. Historical averages for August 29 sit near 77.5 °F, but the current pattern lacks any frontal passages or drier air masses that would allow temperatures to reach the mid-70s. Trader consensus clustering around the 78–81 °F bins reflects this warm bias in official guidance, with close odds between adjacent ranges stemming from uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing that could nudge the minimum by a degree or two. No significant model shifts or new data have altered this outlook in the past day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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