Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 29 will likely settle in the 13–15°C range, driven by a weakening cold front and associated cloud cover that moderates radiational cooling under light southwesterly flow. Recent runs show highs near 23–24°C with scattered showers possible, keeping surface temperatures from dropping further, while historical August averages near 12.7°C provide context for the mild conditions. Slight model spread on exact clearing timing explains the closely matched market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Updated guidance from agencies like DWD or ECMWF ahead of the date could shift the precise minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Monaco di Baviera il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Monaco di Baviera il 29 agosto?
14°C 29%
13°C 29%
15°C 27%
16°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
10°C or below
5%
11°C
9%
12°C
14%
13°C
29%
14°C
29%
15°C
27%
16°C
20%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
6%
14°C 29%
13°C 29%
15°C 27%
16°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
10°C or below
$35 Vol.
5%
11°C
$16 Vol.
9%
12°C
$0 Vol.
14%
13°C
$0 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 29 will likely settle in the 13–15°C range, driven by a weakening cold front and associated cloud cover that moderates radiational cooling under light southwesterly flow. Recent runs show highs near 23–24°C with scattered showers possible, keeping surface temperatures from dropping further, while historical August averages near 12.7°C provide context for the mild conditions. Slight model spread on exact clearing timing explains the closely matched market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Updated guidance from agencies like DWD or ECMWF ahead of the date could shift the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$66Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 29 will likely settle in the 13–15°C range, driven by a weakening cold front and associated cloud cover that moderates radiational cooling under light southwesterly flow. Recent runs show highs near 23–24°C with scattered showers possible, keeping surface temperatures from dropping further, while historical August averages near 12.7°C provide context for the mild conditions. Slight model spread on exact clearing timing explains the closely matched market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Updated guidance from agencies like DWD or ECMWF ahead of the date could shift the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 29 will likely settle in the 13–15°C range, driven by a weakening cold front and associated cloud cover that moderates radiational cooling under light southwesterly flow. Recent runs show highs near 23–24°C with scattered showers possible, keeping surface temperatures from dropping further, while historical August averages near 12.7°C provide context for the mild conditions. Slight model spread on exact clearing timing explains the closely matched market-implied odds around 13–15°C. Updated guidance from agencies like DWD or ECMWF ahead of the date could shift the precise minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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