Latest numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate Munich's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely fall between 15–17°C under high pressure, light easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiational cooling. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities (25–28%) around 14–17°C, while lower outcomes near 11–13°C receive slightly less support and warmer readings above 18°C remain discounted. Minor variations in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the observed uncertainty across leading bins; traders appear to weigh these model spreads against August climatology where typical minima average near 13°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Monaco di Baviera il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Monaco di Baviera il 27 agosto?
14°C 28%
15°C 26%
13°C 26%
16°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
25%
12°C
24%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
14%
14°C 28%
15°C 26%
13°C 26%
16°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
10°C or below
$29 Vol.
1%
11°C
$198 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$5 Vol.
8%
19°C
$5 Vol.
8%
20°C or higher
$24 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate Munich's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely fall between 15–17°C under high pressure, light easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiational cooling. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities (25–28%) around 14–17°C, while lower outcomes near 11–13°C receive slightly less support and warmer readings above 18°C remain discounted. Minor variations in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the observed uncertainty across leading bins; traders appear to weigh these model spreads against August climatology where typical minima average near 13°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$261Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate Munich's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely fall between 15–17°C under high pressure, light easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiational cooling. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities (25–28%) around 14–17°C, while lower outcomes near 11–13°C receive slightly less support and warmer readings above 18°C remain discounted. Minor variations in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the observed uncertainty across leading bins; traders appear to weigh these model spreads against August climatology where typical minima average near 13°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$261Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate Munich's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely fall between 15–17°C under high pressure, light easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiational cooling. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities (25–28%) around 14–17°C, while lower outcomes near 11–13°C receive slightly less support and warmer readings above 18°C remain discounted. Minor variations in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the observed uncertainty across leading bins; traders appear to weigh these model spreads against August climatology where typical minima average near 13°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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