**Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 27, 2026, reflects verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and consistent meteorological reporting.** Official forecasts issued the prior evening projected a daily minimum of 26°C under a low-pressure trough and active southerly flow, which brought periods of heavy showers, thunderstorms, and high cloud cover that limited overnight radiative cooling. Hourly records beginning around 10 a.m. on the 27th showed temperatures already in the upper 20s (e.g., 27.9–28.5°C), consistent with an overnight low near 26°C rather than the lower or higher brackets in the market. This outcome aligns with typical late-August climatology in Hong Kong (climatological daily minima near 25–26°C) and the influence of persistent moisture and cloudiness from the regional weather pattern, which prevented both greater cooling and significant daytime heating beyond the observed 31°C high. Multiple independent weather summaries and HKO-linked data feeds corroborated the same 26°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the result are a post-event revision to HKO station data (for example, a single urban or airport sensor recording 25°C or 27°C due to localized effects) or an official clarification on the precise measurement window or station used for market resolution. With the date now passed and broad agreement across official and secondary sources, such adjustments remain low-probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 27 agosto?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,782 Vol.
$35,782 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,782 Vol.
$35,782 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus on a 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 27, 2026, reflects verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and consistent meteorological reporting.** Official forecasts issued the prior evening projected a daily minimum of 26°C under a low-pressure trough and active southerly flow, which brought periods of heavy showers, thunderstorms, and high cloud cover that limited overnight radiative cooling. Hourly records beginning around 10 a.m. on the 27th showed temperatures already in the upper 20s (e.g., 27.9–28.5°C), consistent with an overnight low near 26°C rather than the lower or higher brackets in the market. This outcome aligns with typical late-August climatology in Hong Kong (climatological daily minima near 25–26°C) and the influence of persistent moisture and cloudiness from the regional weather pattern, which prevented both greater cooling and significant daytime heating beyond the observed 31°C high. Multiple independent weather summaries and HKO-linked data feeds corroborated the same 26°C floor. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the result are a post-event revision to HKO station data (for example, a single urban or airport sensor recording 25°C or 27°C due to localized effects) or an official clarification on the precise measurement window or station used for market resolution. With the date now passed and broad agreement across official and secondary sources, such adjustments remain low-probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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