The overwhelming 99.8% market-implied odds on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 28 reflect official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that temperature as the daily low, consistent with regional observations amid a broad low-pressure trough and scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and high humidity (often 85-95%) limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping nighttime readings from dropping further despite typical late-summer conditions. Historical August minima in the territory average near 26°C, but the specific synoptic setup that day aligned with the 27-29°C range seen in nearby model guidance and surface stations. Only a sharp, unexpected cold surge or measurement revision could realistically shift resolution away from this outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 28 agosto?
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,861 Vol.
$19,861 Vol.
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,861 Vol.
$19,861 Vol.
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
$273 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$734 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,193 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,327 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,496 Vol.
1%
28°C
$6,033 Vol.
100%
29°C
$4,350 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming 99.8% market-implied odds on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 28 reflect official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that temperature as the daily low, consistent with regional observations amid a broad low-pressure trough and scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and high humidity (often 85-95%) limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping nighttime readings from dropping further despite typical late-summer conditions. Historical August minima in the territory average near 26°C, but the specific synoptic setup that day aligned with the 27-29°C range seen in nearby model guidance and surface stations. Only a sharp, unexpected cold surge or measurement revision could realistically shift resolution away from this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$19,861Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming 99.8% market-implied odds on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 28 reflect official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that temperature as the daily low, consistent with regional observations amid a broad low-pressure trough and scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and high humidity (often 85-95%) limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping nighttime readings from dropping further despite typical late-summer conditions. Historical August minima in the territory average near 26°C, but the specific synoptic setup that day aligned with the 27-29°C range seen in nearby model guidance and surface stations. Only a sharp, unexpected cold surge or measurement revision could realistically shift resolution away from this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,861Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming 99.8% market-implied odds on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 28 reflect official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that temperature as the daily low, consistent with regional observations amid a broad low-pressure trough and scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and high humidity (often 85-95%) limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping nighttime readings from dropping further despite typical late-summer conditions. Historical August minima in the territory average near 26°C, but the specific synoptic setup that day aligned with the 27-29°C range seen in nearby model guidance and surface stations. Only a sharp, unexpected cold surge or measurement revision could realistically shift resolution away from this outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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