Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS runs show overnight minimum temperatures in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under a mild maritime air mass. These conditions contrast with the climatological average low of roughly 13–15°C for late August and explain the market’s strong weighting toward 17°C and 16°C outcomes. Updated model guidance through August 28–29 has reinforced this mild profile, with only modest spread in projected lows, keeping lower probabilities attached to 15°C or cooler scenarios while capping upside risk above 18°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 30 agosto?
17°C 61%
16°C 33%
18°C 12%
15°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
33%
17°C
61%
18°C
12%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 61%
16°C 33%
18°C 12%
15°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
$198 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$165 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
3%
15°C
$11 Vol.
9%
16°C
$245 Vol.
33%
17°C
$703 Vol.
61%
18°C
$118 Vol.
12%
19°C
$0 Vol.
7%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
22°C o superiore
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS runs show overnight minimum temperatures in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under a mild maritime air mass. These conditions contrast with the climatological average low of roughly 13–15°C for late August and explain the market’s strong weighting toward 17°C and 16°C outcomes. Updated model guidance through August 28–29 has reinforced this mild profile, with only modest spread in projected lows, keeping lower probabilities attached to 15°C or cooler scenarios while capping upside risk above 18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,547Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS runs show overnight minimum temperatures in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under a mild maritime air mass. These conditions contrast with the climatological average low of roughly 13–15°C for late August and explain the market’s strong weighting toward 17°C and 16°C outcomes. Updated model guidance through August 28–29 has reinforced this mild profile, with only modest spread in projected lows, keeping lower probabilities attached to 15°C or cooler scenarios while capping upside risk above 18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,547Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS runs show overnight minimum temperatures in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under a mild maritime air mass. These conditions contrast with the climatological average low of roughly 13–15°C for late August and explain the market’s strong weighting toward 17°C and 16°C outcomes. Updated model guidance through August 28–29 has reinforced this mild profile, with only modest spread in projected lows, keeping lower probabilities attached to 15°C or cooler scenarios while capping upside risk above 18°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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