Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models indicate Paris overnight lows on August 27 will most likely fall between 17–20 °C as a southwesterly flow advects milder, moister Atlantic air ahead of a weakening trough. This pattern, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clearer high-pressure regimes. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 18–19 °C clustering (over 70 % combined probability) aligns with these model outputs and the month’s +2–3 °C temperature anomaly. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing or rainfall, which could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 27 agosto?
19°C 39%
18°C 26%
20°C 19%
17°C 9%
14°C o inferiore
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
6%
17°C
9%
18°C
26%
19°C
39%
20°C
19%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C o superiore
5%
19°C 39%
18°C 26%
20°C 19%
17°C 9%
14°C o inferiore
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
6%
17°C
9%
18°C
26%
19°C
39%
20°C
19%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C o superiore
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models indicate Paris overnight lows on August 27 will most likely fall between 17–20 °C as a southwesterly flow advects milder, moister Atlantic air ahead of a weakening trough. This pattern, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clearer high-pressure regimes. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 18–19 °C clustering (over 70 % combined probability) aligns with these model outputs and the month’s +2–3 °C temperature anomaly. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing or rainfall, which could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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