Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 14–16°C on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light morning showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining moderate boundary-layer mixing, favoring the tightly contested 15°C (43.5%) and 13°C (39.5%) outcomes over higher or lower thresholds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees; calmer winds or clearer skies overnight would push readings toward 13°C, whereas increased cloudiness or earlier mixing supports 16°C. Historical August minima near 15°C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 29 agosto?
15°C 41%
13°C 38%
21°C or higher 28%
16°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
38%
14°C
11%
15°C
41%
16°C
28%
17°C
27%
18°C
11%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
28%
15°C 41%
13°C 38%
21°C or higher 28%
16°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
11°C or below
$145 Vol.
2%
12°C
$5 Vol.
8%
13°C
$6 Vol.
38%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
41%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$10 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 14–16°C on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light morning showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining moderate boundary-layer mixing, favoring the tightly contested 15°C (43.5%) and 13°C (39.5%) outcomes over higher or lower thresholds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees; calmer winds or clearer skies overnight would push readings toward 13°C, whereas increased cloudiness or earlier mixing supports 16°C. Historical August minima near 15°C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$176Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 14–16°C on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light morning showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining moderate boundary-layer mixing, favoring the tightly contested 15°C (43.5%) and 13°C (39.5%) outcomes over higher or lower thresholds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees; calmer winds or clearer skies overnight would push readings toward 13°C, whereas increased cloudiness or earlier mixing supports 16°C. Historical August minima near 15°C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$176Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 14–16°C on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light morning showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining moderate boundary-layer mixing, favoring the tightly contested 15°C (43.5%) and 13°C (39.5%) outcomes over higher or lower thresholds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees; calmer winds or clearer skies overnight would push readings toward 13°C, whereas increased cloudiness or earlier mixing supports 16°C. Historical August minima near 15°C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti