Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to mostly sunny skies and southerly flow under persistent high pressure over central Texas, supporting daytime highs of 98–102 °F for Austin on September 1. Light winds near 5 mph and minimal cloud cover favor strong solar heating, while dew points in the mid-70s raise heat-index values above 105 °F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Historical September 1 averages near 94 °F underscore the current anomaly driven by the late-summer ridge. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders have anchored the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins at combined 75.5 % implied probability, reflecting tight agreement among short-range guidance and limited upside for outlier intensification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 1° settembre?
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 29%
94-95°F 21%
102-103°F 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
89°F o inferiore
4%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
20%
104-105°F
16%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o superiore
<1%
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 29%
94-95°F 21%
102-103°F 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
89°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
12%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
15%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
21%
96-97°F
$52 Vol.
14%
98-99°F
$2 Vol.
43%
100-101°F
$346 Vol.
29%
102-103°F
$8 Vol.
20%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
16%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
108°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to mostly sunny skies and southerly flow under persistent high pressure over central Texas, supporting daytime highs of 98–102 °F for Austin on September 1. Light winds near 5 mph and minimal cloud cover favor strong solar heating, while dew points in the mid-70s raise heat-index values above 105 °F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Historical September 1 averages near 94 °F underscore the current anomaly driven by the late-summer ridge. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders have anchored the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins at combined 75.5 % implied probability, reflecting tight agreement among short-range guidance and limited upside for outlier intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$408Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to mostly sunny skies and southerly flow under persistent high pressure over central Texas, supporting daytime highs of 98–102 °F for Austin on September 1. Light winds near 5 mph and minimal cloud cover favor strong solar heating, while dew points in the mid-70s raise heat-index values above 105 °F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Historical September 1 averages near 94 °F underscore the current anomaly driven by the late-summer ridge. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders have anchored the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins at combined 75.5 % implied probability, reflecting tight agreement among short-range guidance and limited upside for outlier intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$408Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to mostly sunny skies and southerly flow under persistent high pressure over central Texas, supporting daytime highs of 98–102 °F for Austin on September 1. Light winds near 5 mph and minimal cloud cover favor strong solar heating, while dew points in the mid-70s raise heat-index values above 105 °F without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Historical September 1 averages near 94 °F underscore the current anomaly driven by the late-summer ridge. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders have anchored the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins at combined 75.5 % implied probability, reflecting tight agreement among short-range guidance and limited upside for outlier intensification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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