Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a September 1 high near 68°F for San Francisco, driven by a moderating marine layer over the cold California Current that sustains onshore flow and limits daytime heating. This positions 68-69°F as the leading outcome, aligning closely with the 69.6°F historical average for the date while reflecting September's typical weakening of the North Pacific High compared to peak summer fog patterns. Model consensus supports mid-to-upper 60s readings with partial afternoon clearing possible, though divergence in boundary layer depth introduces uncertainty that favors the clustered 66-71°F range in trader positioning. Updated model runs ahead of the holiday weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 1° settembre?
68-69°F 38%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 22%
64-65°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
59°F o meno
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F o superiore
<1%
68-69°F 38%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 22%
64-65°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
59°F o meno
$136 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$32 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$26 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$32 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$131 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$225 Vol.
38%
70-71°F
$11 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$127 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$464 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$6 Vol.
1%
78°F o superiore
$1 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a September 1 high near 68°F for San Francisco, driven by a moderating marine layer over the cold California Current that sustains onshore flow and limits daytime heating. This positions 68-69°F as the leading outcome, aligning closely with the 69.6°F historical average for the date while reflecting September's typical weakening of the North Pacific High compared to peak summer fog patterns. Model consensus supports mid-to-upper 60s readings with partial afternoon clearing possible, though divergence in boundary layer depth introduces uncertainty that favors the clustered 66-71°F range in trader positioning. Updated model runs ahead of the holiday weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,192Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a September 1 high near 68°F for San Francisco, driven by a moderating marine layer over the cold California Current that sustains onshore flow and limits daytime heating. This positions 68-69°F as the leading outcome, aligning closely with the 69.6°F historical average for the date while reflecting September's typical weakening of the North Pacific High compared to peak summer fog patterns. Model consensus supports mid-to-upper 60s readings with partial afternoon clearing possible, though divergence in boundary layer depth introduces uncertainty that favors the clustered 66-71°F range in trader positioning. Updated model runs ahead of the holiday weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,192Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a September 1 high near 68°F for San Francisco, driven by a moderating marine layer over the cold California Current that sustains onshore flow and limits daytime heating. This positions 68-69°F as the leading outcome, aligning closely with the 69.6°F historical average for the date while reflecting September's typical weakening of the North Pacific High compared to peak summer fog patterns. Model consensus supports mid-to-upper 60s readings with partial afternoon clearing possible, though divergence in boundary layer depth introduces uncertainty that favors the clustered 66-71°F range in trader positioning. Updated model runs ahead of the holiday weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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