Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to peak daytime highs of 25–26°C in Ankara on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. A cooling trend from scattered showers on August 29 has limited surface heating, while variable cloud cover reduces solar insolation and northerly advection keeps temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Forecast uncertainty stems from differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across runs, with the highest probabilities clustered tightly around the most likely observed maximum; later official updates and afternoon observations will resolve the precise peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 30 agosto?
25°C 37%
26°C 37%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
37%
26°C
37%
27°C
16%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 37%
26°C 37%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
$161 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$195 Vol.
1%
23°C
$106 Vol.
4%
24°C
$445 Vol.
7%
25°C
$670 Vol.
37%
26°C
$293 Vol.
37%
27°C
$284 Vol.
16%
28°C
$128 Vol.
3%
29°C
$235 Vol.
2%
30°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to peak daytime highs of 25–26°C in Ankara on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. A cooling trend from scattered showers on August 29 has limited surface heating, while variable cloud cover reduces solar insolation and northerly advection keeps temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Forecast uncertainty stems from differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across runs, with the highest probabilities clustered tightly around the most likely observed maximum; later official updates and afternoon observations will resolve the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,838Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to peak daytime highs of 25–26°C in Ankara on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. A cooling trend from scattered showers on August 29 has limited surface heating, while variable cloud cover reduces solar insolation and northerly advection keeps temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Forecast uncertainty stems from differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across runs, with the highest probabilities clustered tightly around the most likely observed maximum; later official updates and afternoon observations will resolve the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,838Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to peak daytime highs of 25–26°C in Ankara on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. A cooling trend from scattered showers on August 29 has limited surface heating, while variable cloud cover reduces solar insolation and northerly advection keeps temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Forecast uncertainty stems from differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across runs, with the highest probabilities clustered tightly around the most likely observed maximum; later official updates and afternoon observations will resolve the precise peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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