Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service alerts, point to a significant weekend rainstorm tied to a strong El Niño pattern as the key driver, bringing cloud cover, thunderstorms, and scattered showers to the Tel Aviv coastal plain on August 30. This is expected to cap daytime heating, with consensus highs clustering near 30–31°C amid westerly winds and elevated humidity. Historical late-August baselines average around 31–32°C under clearer conditions, but the precipitation and reduced insolation shift trader consensus toward 31°C as the most likely peak, with modest probabilities on 32°C if the storm weakens earlier than anticipated. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 30 agosto?
31°C 65%
32°C 21%
30°C 11%
29°C 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
65%
32°C
21%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 65%
32°C 21%
30°C 11%
29°C 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
27°C or below
$653 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$379 Vol.
2%
30°C
$589 Vol.
11%
31°C
$835 Vol.
65%
32°C
$727 Vol.
21%
33°C
$311 Vol.
2%
34°C
$373 Vol.
1%
35°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service alerts, point to a significant weekend rainstorm tied to a strong El Niño pattern as the key driver, bringing cloud cover, thunderstorms, and scattered showers to the Tel Aviv coastal plain on August 30. This is expected to cap daytime heating, with consensus highs clustering near 30–31°C amid westerly winds and elevated humidity. Historical late-August baselines average around 31–32°C under clearer conditions, but the precipitation and reduced insolation shift trader consensus toward 31°C as the most likely peak, with modest probabilities on 32°C if the storm weakens earlier than anticipated. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,958Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service alerts, point to a significant weekend rainstorm tied to a strong El Niño pattern as the key driver, bringing cloud cover, thunderstorms, and scattered showers to the Tel Aviv coastal plain on August 30. This is expected to cap daytime heating, with consensus highs clustering near 30–31°C amid westerly winds and elevated humidity. Historical late-August baselines average around 31–32°C under clearer conditions, but the precipitation and reduced insolation shift trader consensus toward 31°C as the most likely peak, with modest probabilities on 32°C if the storm weakens earlier than anticipated. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,958Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service alerts, point to a significant weekend rainstorm tied to a strong El Niño pattern as the key driver, bringing cloud cover, thunderstorms, and scattered showers to the Tel Aviv coastal plain on August 30. This is expected to cap daytime heating, with consensus highs clustering near 30–31°C amid westerly winds and elevated humidity. Historical late-August baselines average around 31–32°C under clearer conditions, but the precipitation and reduced insolation shift trader consensus toward 31°C as the most likely peak, with modest probabilities on 32°C if the storm weakens earlier than anticipated. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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