Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus points to a minimum near 11°C in Buenos Aires on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild maritime air. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal passages can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–10°C. Historical early-September minima average near 9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for colder outliers if models trend cooler in final runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Buenos Aires il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Buenos Aires il 1° settembre?
6°C o inferiore 32%
8°C 28%
7°C 25%
9°C 25%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
32%
7°C
25%
8°C
28%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
24%
12°C
19%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C o superiore
1%
6°C o inferiore 32%
8°C 28%
7°C 25%
9°C 25%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
6°C o inferiore
$30 Vol.
32%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
24%
12°C
$5 Vol.
19%
13°C
$15 Vol.
5%
14°C
$70 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus points to a minimum near 11°C in Buenos Aires on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild maritime air. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal passages can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–10°C. Historical early-September minima average near 9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for colder outliers if models trend cooler in final runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$125Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus points to a minimum near 11°C in Buenos Aires on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild maritime air. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal passages can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–10°C. Historical early-September minima average near 9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for colder outliers if models trend cooler in final runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and international model consensus points to a minimum near 11°C in Buenos Aires on September 1 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild maritime air. Small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal passages can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–10°C. Historical early-September minima average near 9°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still leaving room for colder outliers if models trend cooler in final runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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