Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's August 30 high will likely fall between 26–29°C due to increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating winds from the north-northeast that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow several hotter days earlier in the week and reflect typical late-summer patterns where moisture advection reduces insolation and caps peak temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27°C and 28°C. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds based on observed maxima at Tokyo stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 30 agosto?
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 19%
29°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
19%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C
7%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 19%
29°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C
$45 Vol.
7%
26°C
$5 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$68 Vol.
24%
29°C
$7 Vol.
13%
30°C
$2 Vol.
7%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's August 30 high will likely fall between 26–29°C due to increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating winds from the north-northeast that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow several hotter days earlier in the week and reflect typical late-summer patterns where moisture advection reduces insolation and caps peak temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27°C and 28°C. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds based on observed maxima at Tokyo stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$148Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's August 30 high will likely fall between 26–29°C due to increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating winds from the north-northeast that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow several hotter days earlier in the week and reflect typical late-summer patterns where moisture advection reduces insolation and caps peak temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27°C and 28°C. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds based on observed maxima at Tokyo stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$148Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's August 30 high will likely fall between 26–29°C due to increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating winds from the north-northeast that limit daytime heating. These conditions follow several hotter days earlier in the week and reflect typical late-summer patterns where moisture advection reduces insolation and caps peak temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27°C and 28°C. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds based on observed maxima at Tokyo stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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