National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 29 project a high near 101°F under sunny skies with light south-southeast winds, consistent with model consensus showing minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence from a subtropical ridge. This positions 100-101°F as the market leader at 62.5% implied probability, aligning with climatological norms for late August when highs average near 98-100°F but remain elevated amid an ongoing heat pattern. Recent days have featured readings in the upper 90s to low 100s with heat indices above 105°F, though no intensification or cooling trend is indicated before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread against minor model variability in boundary-layer mixing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 29 agosto?
100-101°F 62%
98-99°F 25%
96-97°F 10%
104-105°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
89°F o inferiore
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
62%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
3%
108°F o superiore
2%
100-101°F 62%
98-99°F 25%
96-97°F 10%
104-105°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
89°F o inferiore
$18 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$18 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$18 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$20 Vol.
10%
98-99°F
$60 Vol.
25%
100-101°F
$98 Vol.
62%
102-103°F
$18 Vol.
8%
104-105°F
$22 Vol.
10%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
3%
108°F o superiore
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 29 project a high near 101°F under sunny skies with light south-southeast winds, consistent with model consensus showing minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence from a subtropical ridge. This positions 100-101°F as the market leader at 62.5% implied probability, aligning with climatological norms for late August when highs average near 98-100°F but remain elevated amid an ongoing heat pattern. Recent days have featured readings in the upper 90s to low 100s with heat indices above 105°F, though no intensification or cooling trend is indicated before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread against minor model variability in boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$292Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 29 project a high near 101°F under sunny skies with light south-southeast winds, consistent with model consensus showing minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence from a subtropical ridge. This positions 100-101°F as the market leader at 62.5% implied probability, aligning with climatological norms for late August when highs average near 98-100°F but remain elevated amid an ongoing heat pattern. Recent days have featured readings in the upper 90s to low 100s with heat indices above 105°F, though no intensification or cooling trend is indicated before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread against minor model variability in boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$292Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 29 project a high near 101°F under sunny skies with light south-southeast winds, consistent with model consensus showing minimal cloud cover and continued subsidence from a subtropical ridge. This positions 100-101°F as the market leader at 62.5% implied probability, aligning with climatological norms for late August when highs average near 98-100°F but remain elevated amid an ongoing heat pattern. Recent days have featured readings in the upper 90s to low 100s with heat indices above 105°F, though no intensification or cooling trend is indicated before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread against minor model variability in boundary-layer mixing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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