**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models place Austin’s August 27 high near 100–102 °F, aligning with the market’s leading bins (100–101 °F at 41.5 % and 102–103 °F at 27.5 %).** Persistent late-summer high pressure, light southwesterly flow, and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s support strong diurnal heating, yet increasing afternoon cloud cover and a 30–40 % chance of showers or thunderstorms are expected to cap temperatures slightly below today’s 103–104 °F readings. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with heat-index values still reaching 107–108 °F. No significant frontal passage or stronger steering flow is forecast before the daily maximum, keeping the most probable outcomes clustered around 100–103 °F while leaving limited room for either a drier 104+ °F spike or a cooler 98–99 °F result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 27 agosto?
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 29%
98-99°F 14%
104-105°F 7%
95°F o meno
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
29%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F o superiore
<1%
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 29%
98-99°F 14%
104-105°F 7%
95°F o meno
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
29%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models place Austin’s August 27 high near 100–102 °F, aligning with the market’s leading bins (100–101 °F at 41.5 % and 102–103 °F at 27.5 %).** Persistent late-summer high pressure, light southwesterly flow, and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s support strong diurnal heating, yet increasing afternoon cloud cover and a 30–40 % chance of showers or thunderstorms are expected to cap temperatures slightly below today’s 103–104 °F readings. Model consensus shows only modest spread, with heat-index values still reaching 107–108 °F. No significant frontal passage or stronger steering flow is forecast before the daily maximum, keeping the most probable outcomes clustered around 100–103 °F while leaving limited room for either a drier 104+ °F spike or a cooler 98–99 °F result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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