**Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by typical late-summer southeast flow and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F.** Forecasts from multiple sources (including NHC-influenced regional guidance) project a low near 80°F for September 3, with partly cloudy skies, southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and showers or storms likely in the evening that limit radiational cooling. Dew points remaining in the mid-to-upper 70s further suppress temperature drops. This pattern matches climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 77°F but frequently run warmer under moist tropical air masses. The near-even split between the 78–79°F (38%) and 80–81°F (39.5%) bins reflects model uncertainty in exact overnight timing of cloud cover and precipitation, while lower-probability tails capture potential for stronger cooling or persistent warmth. Traders are weighting official forecast consensus and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns through the period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Miami il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Miami il 3 settembre?
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 38%
92°F o superiore 29%
73°F o inferiore 23%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
73°F o inferiore
23%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92°F o superiore
29%
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 38%
92°F o superiore 29%
73°F o inferiore 23%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
73°F o inferiore
$41 Vol.
23%
74-75°F
$20 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
18%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
38%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
40%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
15%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$10 Vol.
2%
92°F o superiore
$10 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by typical late-summer southeast flow and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F.**
Forecasts from multiple sources (including NHC-influenced regional guidance) project a low near 80°F for September 3, with partly cloudy skies, southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and showers or storms likely in the evening that limit radiational cooling. Dew points remaining in the mid-to-upper 70s further suppress temperature drops.
This pattern matches climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 77°F but frequently run warmer under moist tropical air masses. The near-even split between the 78–79°F (38%) and 80–81°F (39.5%) bins reflects model uncertainty in exact overnight timing of cloud cover and precipitation, while lower-probability tails capture potential for stronger cooling or persistent warmth. Traders are weighting official forecast consensus and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns through the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$111Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by typical late-summer southeast flow and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F.**
Forecasts from multiple sources (including NHC-influenced regional guidance) project a low near 80°F for September 3, with partly cloudy skies, southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and showers or storms likely in the evening that limit radiational cooling. Dew points remaining in the mid-to-upper 70s further suppress temperature drops.
This pattern matches climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 77°F but frequently run warmer under moist tropical air masses. The near-even split between the 78–79°F (38%) and 80–81°F (39.5%) bins reflects model uncertainty in exact overnight timing of cloud cover and precipitation, while lower-probability tails capture potential for stronger cooling or persistent warmth. Traders are weighting official forecast consensus and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns through the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$111Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by typical late-summer southeast flow and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F.** Forecasts from multiple sources (including NHC-influenced regional guidance) project a low near 80°F for September 3, with partly cloudy skies, southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and showers or storms likely in the evening that limit radiational cooling. Dew points remaining in the mid-to-upper 70s further suppress temperature drops. This pattern matches climatological norms for early September, where average lows hover near 77°F but frequently run warmer under moist tropical air masses. The near-even split between the 78–79°F (38%) and 80–81°F (39.5%) bins reflects model uncertainty in exact overnight timing of cloud cover and precipitation, while lower-probability tails capture potential for stronger cooling or persistent warmth. Traders are weighting official forecast consensus and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns through the period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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