Latest forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 38–40.5% for those outcomes. Early September rainy-season conditions—frequent afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity—limit solar heating and keep temperatures near the historical average high of 23–24°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor variations in model runs stem from differences in predicted cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and refined model outputs expected later on September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 3 settembre?
26°C 41%
25°C 38%
27°C o superiore 16%
24°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
9%
25°C
38%
26°C
41%
27°C o superiore
16%
26°C 41%
25°C 38%
27°C o superiore 16%
24°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
$5 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$25 Vol.
3%
23°C
$2 Vol.
6%
24°C
$1 Vol.
9%
25°C
$67 Vol.
38%
26°C
$190 Vol.
41%
27°C o superiore
$143 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 38–40.5% for those outcomes. Early September rainy-season conditions—frequent afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity—limit solar heating and keep temperatures near the historical average high of 23–24°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor variations in model runs stem from differences in predicted cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and refined model outputs expected later on September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$753Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 38–40.5% for those outcomes. Early September rainy-season conditions—frequent afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity—limit solar heating and keep temperatures near the historical average high of 23–24°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor variations in model runs stem from differences in predicted cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and refined model outputs expected later on September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$753Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from multiple models point to a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 3, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 38–40.5% for those outcomes. Early September rainy-season conditions—frequent afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate humidity—limit solar heating and keep temperatures near the historical average high of 23–24°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor variations in model runs stem from differences in predicted cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and refined model outputs expected later on September 2 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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