Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's September 4 minimum will likely fall in the 23–25°C range amid persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light northwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity near 90% and residual moisture from earlier thunderstorms further moderate temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows hover around 24–26°C without strong cold advection. The tightly clustered market probabilities around 21–27°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact cloud cover timing, with new observational data from the next 48 hours likely to narrow the range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 4 settembre?
21°C 88%
22°C 88%
23°C 88%
24°C 88%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
69%
21°C
88%
22°C
88%
23°C
88%
24°C
88%
25°C
88%
26°C
88%
27°C
88%
28°C
20%
29°C
2%
30°C o superiore
59%
21°C 88%
22°C 88%
23°C 88%
24°C 88%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
69%
21°C
$0 Vol.
88%
22°C
$0 Vol.
88%
23°C
$0 Vol.
88%
24°C
$0 Vol.
88%
25°C
$0 Vol.
88%
26°C
$0 Vol.
88%
27°C
$0 Vol.
88%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's September 4 minimum will likely fall in the 23–25°C range amid persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light northwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity near 90% and residual moisture from earlier thunderstorms further moderate temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows hover around 24–26°C without strong cold advection. The tightly clustered market probabilities around 21–27°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact cloud cover timing, with new observational data from the next 48 hours likely to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's September 4 minimum will likely fall in the 23–25°C range amid persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light northwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity near 90% and residual moisture from earlier thunderstorms further moderate temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows hover around 24–26°C without strong cold advection. The tightly clustered market probabilities around 21–27°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact cloud cover timing, with new observational data from the next 48 hours likely to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's September 4 minimum will likely fall in the 23–25°C range amid persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light northwest winds that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity near 90% and residual moisture from earlier thunderstorms further moderate temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical lows hover around 24–26°C without strong cold advection. The tightly clustered market probabilities around 21–27°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact cloud cover timing, with new observational data from the next 48 hours likely to narrow the range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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