Traders price 15°C and 14°C as the near-even frontrunners for Warsaw’s September 4 minimum because official forecasts and ensemble models show overnight lows settling around that range under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling while modest humidity and a 15–20 km/h breeze prevent sharper drops, keeping temperatures above the seasonal September average low of roughly 10°C. Model spread centers on exact timing of any showers and wind shifts that could nudge the reading between 14–16°C, with 12°C or below remaining a lower-probability outlier unless clearer skies develop. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and numerical guidance expected later today will clarify whether conditions favor the 15°C or 14°C outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 4 settembre?
15°C 48%
14°C 46%
12°C o inferiore 25%
13°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
25%
13°C
5%
14°C
46%
15°C
48%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 48%
14°C 46%
12°C o inferiore 25%
13°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
$2 Vol.
25%
13°C
$13 Vol.
5%
14°C
$10 Vol.
46%
15°C
$0 Vol.
48%
16°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
22°C o superiore
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price 15°C and 14°C as the near-even frontrunners for Warsaw’s September 4 minimum because official forecasts and ensemble models show overnight lows settling around that range under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling while modest humidity and a 15–20 km/h breeze prevent sharper drops, keeping temperatures above the seasonal September average low of roughly 10°C. Model spread centers on exact timing of any showers and wind shifts that could nudge the reading between 14–16°C, with 12°C or below remaining a lower-probability outlier unless clearer skies develop. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and numerical guidance expected later today will clarify whether conditions favor the 15°C or 14°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$582Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price 15°C and 14°C as the near-even frontrunners for Warsaw’s September 4 minimum because official forecasts and ensemble models show overnight lows settling around that range under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling while modest humidity and a 15–20 km/h breeze prevent sharper drops, keeping temperatures above the seasonal September average low of roughly 10°C. Model spread centers on exact timing of any showers and wind shifts that could nudge the reading between 14–16°C, with 12°C or below remaining a lower-probability outlier unless clearer skies develop. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and numerical guidance expected later today will clarify whether conditions favor the 15°C or 14°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$582Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Traders price 15°C and 14°C as the near-even frontrunners for Warsaw’s September 4 minimum because official forecasts and ensemble models show overnight lows settling around that range under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling while modest humidity and a 15–20 km/h breeze prevent sharper drops, keeping temperatures above the seasonal September average low of roughly 10°C. Model spread centers on exact timing of any showers and wind shifts that could nudge the reading between 14–16°C, with 12°C or below remaining a lower-probability outlier unless clearer skies develop. Updated runs from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and numerical guidance expected later today will clarify whether conditions favor the 15°C or 14°C outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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