Recent official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and supporting model runs indicate a September 5 high near 23–25 °C in Toronto, with partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and only a 30 % chance of afternoon showers. This consensus, drawn from GFS guidance and surface observations on September 4, positions 24 °C as the modal outcome while leaving modest room for 25 °C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. The market-implied probabilities align closely with these short-range projections and historical climatology (average high ~23.9 °C), reflecting traders’ assessment of limited upside potential under stable high pressure and minimal warm-air advection. Updated model cycles and the final observed maximum will determine resolution within the narrow temperature band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Toronto il 5 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Toronto il 5 settembre?
24°C 46%
25°C 29%
23°C 16%
26°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
46%
25°C
29%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 46%
25°C 29%
23°C 16%
26°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$321 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$56 Vol.
1%
21°C
$215 Vol.
2%
22°C
$446 Vol.
4%
23°C
$854 Vol.
16%
24°C
$469 Vol.
46%
25°C
$864 Vol.
29%
26°C
$355 Vol.
6%
27°C
$188 Vol.
3%
28°C
$224 Vol.
2%
29°C o superiore
$883 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and supporting model runs indicate a September 5 high near 23–25 °C in Toronto, with partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and only a 30 % chance of afternoon showers. This consensus, drawn from GFS guidance and surface observations on September 4, positions 24 °C as the modal outcome while leaving modest room for 25 °C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. The market-implied probabilities align closely with these short-range projections and historical climatology (average high ~23.9 °C), reflecting traders’ assessment of limited upside potential under stable high pressure and minimal warm-air advection. Updated model cycles and the final observed maximum will determine resolution within the narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,875Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and supporting model runs indicate a September 5 high near 23–25 °C in Toronto, with partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and only a 30 % chance of afternoon showers. This consensus, drawn from GFS guidance and surface observations on September 4, positions 24 °C as the modal outcome while leaving modest room for 25 °C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. The market-implied probabilities align closely with these short-range projections and historical climatology (average high ~23.9 °C), reflecting traders’ assessment of limited upside potential under stable high pressure and minimal warm-air advection. Updated model cycles and the final observed maximum will determine resolution within the narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,875Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and supporting model runs indicate a September 5 high near 23–25 °C in Toronto, with partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and only a 30 % chance of afternoon showers. This consensus, drawn from GFS guidance and surface observations on September 4, positions 24 °C as the modal outcome while leaving modest room for 25 °C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. The market-implied probabilities align closely with these short-range projections and historical climatology (average high ~23.9 °C), reflecting traders’ assessment of limited upside potential under stable high pressure and minimal warm-air advection. Updated model cycles and the final observed maximum will determine resolution within the narrow temperature band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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