Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara will experience clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation on September 4, supporting a peak temperature near 29–30 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of about 27 °C. The closely matched market probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C reflect small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and model resolution of surface heating rates under high-pressure conditions. With minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, traders are weighting the most recent ensemble guidance that keeps the daily maximum in this narrow range, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2 °C this close to the event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 4 settembre?
28°C 39%
29°C 39%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
9%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C o superiore
1%
28°C 39%
29°C 39%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
24°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$20 Vol.
4%
26°C
$139 Vol.
4%
27°C
$96 Vol.
12%
28°C
$164 Vol.
39%
29°C
$196 Vol.
39%
30°C
$47 Vol.
9%
31°C
$63 Vol.
5%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
1%
34°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara will experience clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation on September 4, supporting a peak temperature near 29–30 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of about 27 °C. The closely matched market probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C reflect small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and model resolution of surface heating rates under high-pressure conditions. With minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, traders are weighting the most recent ensemble guidance that keeps the daily maximum in this narrow range, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2 °C this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$726Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara will experience clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation on September 4, supporting a peak temperature near 29–30 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of about 27 °C. The closely matched market probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C reflect small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and model resolution of surface heating rates under high-pressure conditions. With minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, traders are weighting the most recent ensemble guidance that keeps the daily maximum in this narrow range, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2 °C this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$726Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara will experience clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation on September 4, supporting a peak temperature near 29–30 °C, slightly above the early-September climatological average of about 27 °C. The closely matched market probabilities for 28 °C and 29 °C reflect small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and model resolution of surface heating rates under high-pressure conditions. With minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, traders are weighting the most recent ensemble guidance that keeps the daily maximum in this narrow range, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2 °C this close to the event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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