**Forecast models from multiple sources, including Yr.no and WeatherBug, indicate a high of 30–31°C in Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early September in the region's continental climate.** This consensus drives the market's strong weighting toward 30°C (55.5% implied probability) and 31°C (24%), as current conditions on September 1 show similar highs near 29–30°C with minimal precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Historical climatology places early September maxima around 27–30°C, and the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover keeps upward or downward shifts unlikely before resolution. Traders appear to price in this tight range based on short-term model agreement rather than broader seasonal trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 3 settembre?
30°C 56%
31°C 25%
29°C 19%
28°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
56%
31°C
25%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 56%
31°C 25%
29°C 19%
28°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
26°C
$5 Vol.
3%
27°C
$57 Vol.
2%
28°C
$95 Vol.
4%
29°C
$397 Vol.
19%
30°C
$145 Vol.
56%
31°C
$346 Vol.
25%
32°C
$206 Vol.
3%
33°C
$15 Vol.
2%
34°C
$157 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$164 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including Yr.no and WeatherBug, indicate a high of 30–31°C in Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early September in the region's continental climate.** This consensus drives the market's strong weighting toward 30°C (55.5% implied probability) and 31°C (24%), as current conditions on September 1 show similar highs near 29–30°C with minimal precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Historical climatology places early September maxima around 27–30°C, and the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover keeps upward or downward shifts unlikely before resolution. Traders appear to price in this tight range based on short-term model agreement rather than broader seasonal trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,591Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including Yr.no and WeatherBug, indicate a high of 30–31°C in Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early September in the region's continental climate.** This consensus drives the market's strong weighting toward 30°C (55.5% implied probability) and 31°C (24%), as current conditions on September 1 show similar highs near 29–30°C with minimal precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Historical climatology places early September maxima around 27–30°C, and the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover keeps upward or downward shifts unlikely before resolution. Traders appear to price in this tight range based on short-term model agreement rather than broader seasonal trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,591Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including Yr.no and WeatherBug, indicate a high of 30–31°C in Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early September in the region's continental climate.** This consensus drives the market's strong weighting toward 30°C (55.5% implied probability) and 31°C (24%), as current conditions on September 1 show similar highs near 29–30°C with minimal precipitation risk and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Historical climatology places early September maxima around 27–30°C, and the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover keeps upward or downward shifts unlikely before resolution. Traders appear to price in this tight range based on short-term model agreement rather than broader seasonal trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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