Forecast models from sources including Yr.no and Worldmeteo indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 13–15°C on September 6, consistent with September climatology at 2,240 m elevation where clear skies enable strong radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain, driven by regional moisture, are limiting nighttime temperature drops and positioning 17°C or higher as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these moderating effects against typical dry-season minima near 13°C, with lower outcomes like 7°C or below reflecting tail risks from clearer breaks. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 6 settembre?
7°C o inferiore 59%
16°C 49%
8°C 43%
9°C 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
59%
8°C
43%
9°C
43%
10°C
20%
11°C
43%
12°C
26%
13°C
24%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
49%
17°C o superiore
-
7°C o inferiore 59%
16°C 49%
8°C 43%
9°C 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
59%
8°C
$0 Vol.
43%
9°C
$0 Vol.
43%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
43%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$10 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C o superiore
$6 Vol.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including Yr.no and Worldmeteo indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 13–15°C on September 6, consistent with September climatology at 2,240 m elevation where clear skies enable strong radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain, driven by regional moisture, are limiting nighttime temperature drops and positioning 17°C or higher as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these moderating effects against typical dry-season minima near 13°C, with lower outcomes like 7°C or below reflecting tail risks from clearer breaks. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$16Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including Yr.no and Worldmeteo indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 13–15°C on September 6, consistent with September climatology at 2,240 m elevation where clear skies enable strong radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain, driven by regional moisture, are limiting nighttime temperature drops and positioning 17°C or higher as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these moderating effects against typical dry-season minima near 13°C, with lower outcomes like 7°C or below reflecting tail risks from clearer breaks. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including Yr.no and Worldmeteo indicate Mexico City overnight lows near 13–15°C on September 6, consistent with September climatology at 2,240 m elevation where clear skies enable strong radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain, driven by regional moisture, are limiting nighttime temperature drops and positioning 17°C or higher as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these moderating effects against typical dry-season minima near 13°C, with lower outcomes like 7°C or below reflecting tail risks from clearer breaks. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will likely refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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